Peak Oil and Economic Contraction http://poaec.com A glimpse at our near future Wed, 24 Apr 2013 03:03:32 +0000 en-US hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.4.1 Energy Watch Group – Fossil and Nuclear Fuels – The Supply Outlook – March 2013 http://poaec.com/archives/386 http://poaec.com/archives/386#comments Wed, 24 Apr 2013 03:03:32 +0000 njparkin http://poaec.com/?p=386 Continue reading →]]>

A very thorough paper:

“Empirical data shows that world oil production has not increased anymore but has entered a plateau since about 2005. The production of conventional oil is already in slight decline since about 2008. The peaking of conventional oil is now also accepted by the International Energy Agency. Present and future efforts by the oil industry are directed at upholding this plateau as long as possible while at the same time having to struggle with the growing decline of production in ageing fields………

According to our analysis, it is quite likely that in 2030 world oil production will have
declined by 40 percent compared to 2012. “

]]> http://poaec.com/archives/386/feed 0 Youtube presentation is now live!! http://poaec.com/archives/364 http://poaec.com/archives/364#comments Tue, 05 Mar 2013 22:05:07 +0000 njparkin http://poaec.com/?p=364

Watch in HD!!!

]]> http://poaec.com/archives/364/feed 8 Presentation to 350.org http://poaec.com/archives/345 http://poaec.com/archives/345#comments Wed, 30 Jan 2013 17:59:38 +0000 njparkin http://poaec.com/?p=345

Peak-Oil-and-Economic-Contraction_6 presentation complete.

]]> http://poaec.com/archives/345/feed 0 Germany Requests Gold Repatriation http://poaec.com/archives/295 http://poaec.com/archives/295#comments Tue, 15 Jan 2013 19:40:20 +0000 njparkin http://poaec.com/?p=295

The first to blink is Germany as the first major central bank to move in the coming GOLD GRAB as global currency debasement turns into currency war. Is the Gold there?

And a good analysis by the ZH team.

]]> http://poaec.com/archives/295/feed 0 Nate Hagens Lecture, it is absolutely spot on…. http://poaec.com/archives/292 http://poaec.com/archives/292#comments Sat, 22 Dec 2012 19:30:14 +0000 njparkin http://poaec.com/?p=292

Well worth listening to this 50 mins of why and where we are going….excellent

]]> http://poaec.com/archives/292/feed 1 Jim Rickards spells out a potential currency war scenario, quite sobering http://poaec.com/archives/283 http://poaec.com/archives/283#comments Thu, 25 Oct 2012 21:00:27 +0000 njparkin http://poaec.com/?p=283

http://peakoil.com/publicpolicy/jim-rickards-currency-wars-simulation/

]]> http://poaec.com/archives/283/feed 5 David Attenborough, Heinberg and other heavy hitters make a case for the rise and fall of humans….. http://poaec.com/archives/279 http://poaec.com/archives/279#comments Mon, 01 Oct 2012 15:08:26 +0000 njparkin http://poaec.com/?p=279

Bollocks: the rise and fall of humans

]]> http://poaec.com/archives/279/feed 0 Currency Wars! http://poaec.com/archives/274 http://poaec.com/archives/274#comments Thu, 20 Sep 2012 18:30:26 +0000 njparkin http://poaec.com/?p=274

Max and Jim SPELL IT OUT!!

An excellent, clinical assessment (15 mins) of the implications of money printing (QE3)

]]> http://poaec.com/archives/274/feed 0 Peak Oil Preparedness Report Card… What’s your score? http://poaec.com/archives/267 http://poaec.com/archives/267#comments Thu, 06 Sep 2012 03:28:09 +0000 njparkin http://poaec.com/?p=267 Continue reading →]]>

The full version is now freely available for general use. Answer the questions, get your report card , get your grades and then click away on a whole host of links and websites containing tips for improving your score and developing your resilience!!!

Enjoy and Good luck to you!!

]]> http://poaec.com/archives/267/feed 11 2011 Oil production numbers are out http://poaec.com/archives/254 http://poaec.com/archives/254#comments Sat, 14 Jul 2012 17:11:21 +0000 njparkin http://poaec.com/?p=254 Continue reading →]]>

Saudi Arabia’s increase (1.2 mbpd) to 2005 production levels was the main contributor to the supply uptick and to a new high in global oil production. Although this increase implies that the oil production peak is NOT already behind us, it is difficult to argue that we have left the 2005-2010 ‘plateau’.

Year	mbpd

2001	75.40
2002	75.00
2003	77.44
2004	81.10
2005	81.87
2006	82.06
2007	82.07
2008	82.89
2009	80.89
2010	82.48
2011	83.53

Source BP Statistics: Annual global oil production increased by 1.1 million b/d, or 1.3%

Virtually all of the net growth was in OPEC, with large increases in Saudi Arabia (+1.2 million b/d), the UAE, Kuwait and Iraq more than offsetting a loss of Libyan supply (-1.2million b/d). Output reached record levels in Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Qatar. Non-OPEC output was broadly flat, with increases in the US, Canada, Russia and Colombia offsetting continued declines in mature provinces such as the UK and Norway, as well as unexpected outages in a number of other countries.

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